Author Topic: Playoff race scenarios  (Read 1573 times)

oddjob

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Playoff race scenarios
« on: April 09, 2006, 10:36:24 PM »
With the inaugural PBCup season winding down with three matches left, I have decided to break down some playoff scenarios. The teams that already have clinched playoff spots are eR33t, Two-Bit Operation, aB, and crossbones. Graffiti Taggers and QeHs have already been eliminated from playoff contention. That leaves three teams, krew, memi and Rust fighting for the 5th and 6th spot in the playoffs. The three matches that are left are:

Rust vs. Team eR33t
QeHs vs. Graffiti Taggers
Two-Bit Operation vs. krew

You can read about those matches in Number23’s previous post

eR33t and Two-Bit Operation both have one match left and are fighting for the #1 seed in the playoffs. I will break down each team’s clinching scenarios.

team eR33t
Team eR33t has already clinched a bye and they have one match remaining against Rust. They can clinch the #1 spot in the playoffs by winning at least 2 quarters against Rust in their match on Wednesday. Even if Two-Bit Operation wins 4 quarters against krew in their match, team eR33t will still hold the tiebreaker because of their defeat of 2b0 in their head to head match up in week 3. They will be #2 seed if 2b0 wins at least 3 quarters against krew and lose all 4 quarters to Rust.

Two-Bit Operation
2b0 has already clinched a playoff spot and they have one match remaining against krew. 2b0 will clinch the #1 spot with at least 3 quarter wins against krew and team eR33t has to lose all 4 quarters to Rust. They can secure the #2 seed with at least 1 quarter win against krew. If 2b0 loses all 4 quarters to krew they will be in the #3 seed by virtue of the tiebreaker aB has over them.

Team aB

Team aB has clinched at least a #3 seed or higher. They have no remaining matches. They can clinch the #2 seed with 2b0 having a 4-0 loss to krew by virtue of the tiebreaker that I mentioned before. If 2b0 wins at least 1 round, aB will secure the #3 seed. Even with Rust beating eR33t 4-0 would tie aB and Rust, but aB would hold the tiebreaker with their 3-1 defeat of Rust back in week 2.

Crossbones
Crossbones have clinched a playoff spot with no remaining matches. They sit in #4 right now. They will remain in #4 with an eR33t tie with Rust. If Rust ties eR33t crossbones and Rust will be tied for points, but crossbones holds the tiebreaker over Rust with crossbones defeat of Rust in week 1. Crossbones will be no less than #5. They will be #5 if Rust defeats eR33t at least 3-1. Even if krew wins 4-0 against 2b0 they will still be tied points wise with crossbones, but crossbones holds the tie breaker with their 3-1 defeat of krew in week 6.

Team Memi
Memi has not yet secured a playoff birth. They can secure a playoff birth with Rust losing 4-0 to eR33t OR krew winning no greater than 3 quarters in their match against 2b0. Memi can secure #5 with Rust winning no more than 1 quarter against eR33t and krew winning no more than 3 quarters against 2b0. The #6 seed will be theirs if krew wins no more than 3 quarters AND Rust wins at least 2 against eR33t. Memi will fail to make the playoffs if Rust wins 2 quarters against eR33t and krew winning 4 quarters against 2b0.

Rust
Rust has not yet secured a playoff birth. They can secure a playoff birth by winning at least 2 quarters against eR33t OR krew winning no more than 2 quarters against 2b0 while Rust does not receive a shutout loss to eR33t. They can get the #5 spot if they win at least 2 quarters against eR33t, but if krew wins all 4 against 2b0 Rust would be tied with krew and crossbones but Rust would win the tiebreaker against krew and losing the tiebreaker to crossbones because of crossbones week 1 victory against Rust. They will secure the #6 spot if krew wins no more than 2 quarters against 2b0 and they lose all 4 quarters to eR33t. If they do win at least 1 quarter against eR33t, krew would have to win no more than 3 quarters for Rust to get the #6 seed. Rust will fail to make the playoffs if they lose all 4 quarters to eR33t and krew wins at least 3 against 2b0. They will also fail to make the playoffs if they win 1 round against eR33t and krew wins all 4 rounds against 2b0.

krew
Krew has not yet secured a playoff birth and are on the outside looking in. They can secure a playoff birth by winning all 4 quarters against 2b0 OR by winning 3 quarters against 2b0 and rust losing all 4 quarters to eR33t. If neither of these things happen, they will be eliminated from playoff contention and Rust would become the #6 seed.

Graffiti Taggers and QeHs
GT and QeHs are already eliminated from playoff contention. It was a good season and better luck next season to both teams. Both teams showed much improvement towards the end of the season. QeHs almost won a few quarters. They were very good sports through this whole season. Hopefully they get better and can challenge some clans next season.

My predicted final standings are:

eR33t – 29
Two-Bit Operation – 27
Team aB – 24
Crossbones – 22
Team Memi – 21
Rust – 21
Krew – 19
GT – 11
QeHs – 1

With my final standings this will make the playoff match ups as follows:

#3 Team aB vs. #6 Rust
#4 Crossbones vs. #5 Team Memi
#1 Team eR33t and #2 Two-Bit Operation both receiving byes to face the winners of the 2 quarterfinal games
« Last Edit: April 09, 2006, 10:39:25 PM by XtremeBain »